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Portugal vs Wales - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Portugal Logo

Portugal

1 - 0
Slutt
Wales Logo

Wales

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

22' Event
Joao Felix
Assist: Mendes N.
59'
Ronaldo C.
63'
Bytte
Brooks D. Inn: James D.
Ut: Brooks D.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Portugal in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Portugal
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Wales
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Portugal

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Wales haven't matched Portugal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Portugal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Portugal have taken 3 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 33.2%
Portugal Rent bur 68%
Wales Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Portugal Wales
Kamper Spilt 31 30
Seire 21 10
Uavgjort 6 9
Tap 4 11
Mål Scoret 2.19 1.4
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.9 1.27
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 0.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

24. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Portugal vs Wales
1:0
6. juli 2016 Euro
Portugal vs Wales
2:0
1. juni 2000 Friendly International
Portugal vs Wales
3:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Portugal Sammenlign

Toppscorer Joao Felix
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.2
Snitt xA / kamp 0.78

Wales Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.57
Snitt xA / kamp 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Portugal 95 / 100
Wales 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Portugal Wales

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Portugal Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Portugal scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Wales's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Portugal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Portugal VS Wales
1.75 Mål scoret 0.75
0.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal

(Home)
04 Oct
Portugal
2 : 1
Norway
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4
Portugal
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0
Wales
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
Page 1 of 7

Wales

(Away)
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1
Denmark
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1
Norway
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0
Wales
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0
Wales
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)