Sport Picks

Stadium Background

QPR vs Derby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Loftus Road, London
ons. 14. okt. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

QPR host Derby in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. QPR have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Derby's 1.26 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, QPR have won 2 to Derby's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on 25. apr. 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.88) point toward QPR. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
QPR
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Derby
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: QPR

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Derby haven't matched QPR's recent run of results.
  • Model gives QPR a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
QPR Rent bur 20%
Derby Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk QPR Derby
Kamper Spilt 28 27
Seire 11 10
Uavgjort 8 3
Tap 9 14
Mål Scoret 1.57 1.26
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.29 1.41
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 0.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25. apr. 2026 Championship
QPR vs Derby
2:3
25. okt. 2025 Championship
Derby vs QPR
1:0
14. feb. 2025 Championship
QPR vs Derby
4:0
5. okt. 2024 Championship
Derby vs QPR
2:0
18. apr. 2022 Championship
QPR vs Derby
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

QPR 40 / 100
Derby 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
QPR Derby

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips QPR Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

QPR's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Derby let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: QPR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

QPR VS Derby
1 Mål scoret 0.88
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

QPR

(Home)
09 Oct
West Ham
1 : 1
QPR
19 Sept
QPR
2 : 2
Preston
12 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
QPR
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
QPR
05 Sept
QPR
0 : 1
Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6

Derby

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2
Birmingham
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1
West Brom
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0
Derby
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2
Derby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
6 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)