Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Rathenow enters this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 71%. Rathenow averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Rostocker FC shows a form average of 0.3 goals scored and 6.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Rathenow, 1 wins for Rostocker FC, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.04.25 ended in a 8:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Rathenow and 1.00 for Rostocker FC, suggesting the primary value lies in the Rathenow double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Rathenow har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Rostocker FC.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.04 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 75%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Rathenow | Rostocker FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 25 | 30 |
| Seire | 9 | 0 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 0 |
| Tap | 8 | 30 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.76 | 0.33 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.64 | 6.2 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Rathenow
Rostocker FC
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Rathenow Sammenlign
Rostocker FC Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Rathenow is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Rostocker FC will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Rathenow's attacks.
Expect Rathenow to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Rathenow vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Rostocker FC, allowing Rathenow's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Rathenow, while Rostocker FC takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Rathenow have found the net in 80% of their last 25 matches.
Rostocker FC have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 5.20 goals per match.
Rathenow remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Rostocker FC suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BFC Preussen | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 77:22 | 67 |
| 2 | Lichtenberg | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 88:28 | 66 |
| 3 | Mahlsdorf | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 82:32 | 66 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock II | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 96:46 | 60 |
| 5 | TUS Makkabi | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 60:41 | 48 |
| 6 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 76:66 | 48 |
| 7 | TSG Neustrelitz | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 56:48 | 45 |
| 8 | Berliner AK 07 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 44 |
| 9 | TB Berlin | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 74:71 | 42 |
| 10 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 51:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Dynamo Schwerin | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 51:68 | 36 |
| 12 | Wismar | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 55:68 | 35 |
| 13 | Rathenow | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 46:57 | 30 |
| 14 | SC Staaken | 30 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 48:73 | 29 |
| 15 | Ahrensfelde | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 46:75 | 22 |
| 16 | Rostocker FC | 30 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 10:183 | 0 |