Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rathfern Rangers vs Sirocco

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2013/2014
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Sirocco is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Rathfern Rangers, backed by a win probability of 67%. Rathfern Rangers averages 1.7 goals scored and 3.1 conceded in recent matches. Sirocco shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Rathfern Rangers, 1 wins for Sirocco, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.11.13 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.98 for Rathfern Rangers and 2.45 for Sirocco, suggesting the primary value lies in the Sirocco double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

18%
Rathfern Rangers
15%
Uavgjort
67%
Sirocco
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Sirocco

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Rathfern Rangers har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Sirocco.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.98 vs 2.45 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 88%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 96%
Over 2.5 Mål 88%
Over 3.5 Mål 53%
Over 4.5 Mål 26%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79%
Rathfern Rangers Rent bur 10%
Sirocco Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 86%
Mål 2. omgang 91%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Rathfern Rangers Sirocco
Kamper Spilt 7 16
Seire 1 5
Uavgjort 0 0
Tap 6 11
Mål Scoret 1.71 1.63
Mål Sluppet Inn 3.14 2.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.71 1.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 3.14 2.25

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

09.11.13 Irish Cup
Rathfern Rangers vs Sirocco
1:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Rathfern Rangers

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sirocco

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Rathfern Rangers 18 / 100
Sirocco 62 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Rathfern Rangers Sirocco

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Sirocco Win (2)
Sekundærtips Sirocco & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Sirocco will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Rathfern Rangers 20%
Sirocco 54%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Rathfern Rangers will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Sirocco's early runs.

Rathfern Rangers 17%
Sirocco 70%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Sirocco to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Rathfern Rangers tries to push forward.

Rathfern Rangers 18%
Sirocco 67%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Sirocco increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Rathfern Rangers 19%
Sirocco 64%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Rathfern Rangers's defense, opening up opportunities for Sirocco's forward line.

Rathfern Rangers 16%
Sirocco 74%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Sirocco to manage the closing stages, while Rathfern Rangers searches for late drama.

Rathfern Rangers 21%
Sirocco 77%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Rathfern Rangers angriper → ← angriper Sirocco

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Rathfern Rangers have found the net in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Sirocco have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 16 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Rathfern Rangers remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sirocco suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

3 Poeng siste 5 15
1.71 Forventede mål (xG) 1.75
3.14 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.25