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Rayo Majadahonda vs Vallecas CF
Spania
Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 
Kampsammendrag
This Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 encounter between Rayo Majadahonda and Vallecas CF promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Rayo Majadahonda averages 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Vallecas CF shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Rayo Majadahonda, 2 wins for Vallecas CF, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.01.11 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.73 for Rayo Majadahonda and 0.75 for Vallecas CF, suggesting the primary value lies in the Rayo Majadahonda double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Rayo Majadahonda har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Vallecas CF.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.73 vs 0.75 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 57%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Rayo Majadahonda | Vallecas CF |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 35 | 36 |
| Seire | 21 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 10 |
| Tap | 4 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.66 | 1.33 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.8 | 1.94 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Rayo Majadahonda
Vallecas CF
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Rayo Majadahonda is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Vallecas CF will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Rayo Majadahonda's attacks.
Expect Rayo Majadahonda to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Rayo Majadahonda vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Vallecas CF, allowing Rayo Majadahonda's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Rayo Majadahonda, while Vallecas CF takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Rayo Majadahonda have found the net in 86% of their last 35 matches.
Vallecas CF have conceded at least one goal in 92% of their last 36 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.
Rayo Majadahonda remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Vallecas CF suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano B | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 68:23 | 85 |
| 2 | Parla | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 65:33 | 74 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 77:41 | 70 |
| 4 | Trival Valderas | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 77:45 | 69 |
| 5 | CF Fuenlabrada | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 52:33 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Madrid C | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 59:43 | 64 |
| 7 | Navalcarnero | 38 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 49:48 | 57 |
| 8 | CD Mostoles | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 52:42 | 56 |
| 9 | Rayo Majadahonda | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 46:47 | 54 |
| 10 | AD Colmenar | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 53:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Atl. Madrid C | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55:51 | 52 |
| 12 | San Fernando de Henares | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 42:58 | 50 |
| 13 | San Sebastian Reyes | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 57:57 | 50 |
| 14 | Atletico Pinto | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43:62 | 47 |
| 15 | Vallecas CF | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Mexico | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 17 | CD Arganda | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 40:61 | 39 |
| 18 | Santa Ana | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 38:73 | 30 |
| 19 | CD Ciempozuelos | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 36:80 | 24 |
| 20 | Galactico Pegaso | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27:73 | 23 |