Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RC Saint Joseph vs Aiglon Lamentin

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

RC Saint Joseph enters this Trophee Gerard Janvion fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 67%. RC Saint Joseph averages 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in recent matches. Aiglon Lamentin shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for RC Saint Joseph, 0 wins for Aiglon Lamentin, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.03.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.88 for RC Saint Joseph and 0.94 for Aiglon Lamentin, suggesting the primary value lies in the RC Saint Joseph double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

67%
RC Saint Joseph
15%
Uavgjort
18%
Aiglon Lamentin
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: RC Saint Joseph

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • RC Saint Joseph har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Aiglon Lamentin.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.88 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 83%
Over 2.5 Mål 54%
Over 3.5 Mål 32%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 48%
RC Saint Joseph Rent bur 24%
Aiglon Lamentin Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 75%
Mål 2. omgang 79%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk RC Saint Joseph Aiglon Lamentin
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 24 7
Uavgjort 6 3
Tap 0 20
Mål Scoret 2.43 1.3
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.4 2.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.25 1.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14.03.26 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Aiglon Lamentin
2:0
25.10.25 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs RC Saint Joseph
3:8
26.04.25 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Aiglon Lamentin
5:1
07.12.24 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs RC Saint Joseph
0:1
29.05.24 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs RC Saint Joseph
1:3

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

RC Saint Joseph

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Aiglon Lamentin

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

RC Saint Joseph 65 / 100
Aiglon Lamentin 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
RC Saint Joseph Aiglon Lamentin

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips RC Saint Joseph Win (1)
Sekundærtips RC Saint Joseph & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

RC Saint Joseph is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

RC Saint Joseph 74%
Aiglon Lamentin 14%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Aiglon Lamentin will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of RC Saint Joseph's attacks.

RC Saint Joseph 64%
Aiglon Lamentin 19%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect RC Saint Joseph to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

RC Saint Joseph 67%
Aiglon Lamentin 18%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see RC Saint Joseph vary their attacking width.

RC Saint Joseph 70%
Aiglon Lamentin 17%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Aiglon Lamentin, allowing RC Saint Joseph's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

RC Saint Joseph 60%
Aiglon Lamentin 20%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from RC Saint Joseph, while Aiglon Lamentin takes risks to salvage a result.

RC Saint Joseph 77%
Aiglon Lamentin 21%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

RC Saint Joseph angriper → ← angriper Aiglon Lamentin

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

RC Saint Joseph have found the net in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Aiglon Lamentin have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.80 goals per match.

RC Saint Joseph remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Aiglon Lamentin suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

78 Poeng siste 5 24
2.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.63
0.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1RC Saint Joseph26215064:1094
2Franciscain26203354:1689
3Golden Lion26154751:2775
4Club Colonial26152944:3073
5Samaritaine26117849:2766
6Club Peleen261141140:4363
7Inter de Sainte-Anne26971033:3160
8Trenelle26710937:4157
9Golden Star26941332:4457
10Morne des Esses26861228:4056
11Espoir26841430:4954
12Aiglon Lamentin26631733:7447
13Robert26551622:4746
14Emulation26261818:5638