Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
RC Saint Joseph enters this Trophee Gerard Janvion fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 67%. RC Saint Joseph averages 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded in recent matches. Aiglon Lamentin shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for RC Saint Joseph, 0 wins for Aiglon Lamentin, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.03.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.88 for RC Saint Joseph and 0.94 for Aiglon Lamentin, suggesting the primary value lies in the RC Saint Joseph double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- RC Saint Joseph har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Aiglon Lamentin.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.88 vs 0.94 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | RC Saint Joseph | Aiglon Lamentin |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 24 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 3 |
| Tap | 0 | 20 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.43 | 1.3 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.4 | 2.93 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 0.25 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
RC Saint Joseph
Aiglon Lamentin
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
RC Saint Joseph is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Aiglon Lamentin will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of RC Saint Joseph's attacks.
Expect RC Saint Joseph to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see RC Saint Joseph vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Aiglon Lamentin, allowing RC Saint Joseph's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from RC Saint Joseph, while Aiglon Lamentin takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
RC Saint Joseph have found the net in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Aiglon Lamentin have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.80 goals per match.
RC Saint Joseph remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Aiglon Lamentin suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Saint Joseph | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 64:10 | 94 |
| 2 | Franciscain | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 54:16 | 89 |
| 3 | Golden Lion | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:27 | 75 |
| 4 | Club Colonial | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 44:30 | 73 |
| 5 | Samaritaine | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 49:27 | 66 |
| 6 | Club Peleen | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:43 | 63 |
| 7 | Inter de Sainte-Anne | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:31 | 60 |
| 8 | Trenelle | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 37:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Golden Star | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 32:44 | 57 |
| 10 | Morne des Esses | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28:40 | 56 |
| 11 | Espoir | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30:49 | 54 |
| 12 | Aiglon Lamentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 33:74 | 47 |
| 13 | Robert | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Emulation | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 18:56 | 38 |