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Real Oruro vs The Strongest

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Jesús Bermúdez
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Division Profesional encounter between Real Oruro and The Strongest promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Real Oruro averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. The Strongest shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Real Oruro, 4 wins for The Strongest, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.04.26 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Real Oruro and 2.50 for The Strongest, suggesting the primary value lies in the The Strongest double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

33%
Real Oruro
17%
Uavgjort
50%
The Strongest
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: The Strongest

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

77% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Real Oruro har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med The Strongest.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.44 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 71%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 71%
Over 3.5 Mål 43%
Over 4.5 Mål 21%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Real Oruro Rent bur 10%
The Strongest Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Real Oruro The Strongest
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 9 15
Uavgjort 9 5
Tap 11 9
Mål Scoret 2.03 1.83
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.86 1.28
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 2.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26.04.26 Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs The Strongest
2:3
25.03.26 Club Friendly
The Strongest vs Real Oruro
4:1
22.11.25 Division Profesional
The Strongest vs Real Oruro
2:1
03.07.25 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Real Oruro
0:1
14.06.25 Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs The Strongest
1:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Real Oruro

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

The Strongest

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Real Oruro Sammenlign

Toppscorer Quinonez A.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.45
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94

The Strongest Sammenlign

Toppscorer Lom D.
1 Mål
Assister Sotomayor G.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.16
Snitt xA / kamp 1.32

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Real Oruro 32 / 100
The Strongest 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Real Oruro The Strongest

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: The Strongest or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Real Oruro 36%
The Strongest 40%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Real Oruro 31%
The Strongest 53%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Real Oruro 33%
The Strongest 50%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Real Oruro 35%
The Strongest 48%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Real Oruro 30%
The Strongest 55%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Real Oruro 38%
The Strongest 57%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Real Oruro angriper → ← angriper The Strongest

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Real Oruro have found the net in 97% of their last 29 matches.

The Strongest have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.40 goals per match.

Real Oruro remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

The Strongest suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

36 Poeng siste 5 50
1.88 Forventede mål (xG) 2.38
2.63 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Always Ready852114:517
2The Strongest752012:617
3Aurora844014:716
4Bolivar842219:914
5Blooming833214:1012
6Independiente733111:1012
7Guabira932414:2011
8Club Universitario de Vinto831414:1210
9Oriente Petrolero831410:1110
10Academia del Balompie730412:179
11Nacional Potosi72239:98
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo821510:147
13Real Potosi61325:56
14Real Oruro612310:145
15Tomayapo71243:165
16GV San Jose60245:112