Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This LaLiga 2025/2026 encounter between Real Sociedad and Osasuna promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Real Sociedad averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Osasuna shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for Real Sociedad, 0 wins for Osasuna, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.03.26 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Real Sociedad and 1.44 for Osasuna, suggesting the primary value lies in the Real Sociedad double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Real Sociedad har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Osasuna.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.63 vs 1.44 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 64%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Real Sociedad | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 30 |
| Seire | 14 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 7 |
| Tap | 8 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.81 | 1.53 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.55 | 1.53 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Real Sociedad Sammenlign
Osasuna Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Real Sociedad is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Osasuna will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Real Sociedad's attacks.
Expect Real Sociedad to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Real Sociedad vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Osasuna, allowing Real Sociedad's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Real Sociedad, while Osasuna takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Real Sociedad have found the net in 90% of their last 31 matches.
Osasuna have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.
Real Sociedad remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Osasuna suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |