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Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
Riga Mariners Logo

Riga Mariners

lør. 11. juli 2026
3 - 4
03:00 p.m.
BFC Daugavpils Logo

BFC Daugavpils

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

10' Event
Kivinda D.
23' Event
Grazis A.
Assist: Owusu R.
25' Event
Pavlovskis A.
Assist: Grazis A.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Riga Mariners
30%
Uavgjort
34%
BFC Daugavpils
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Riga Mariners

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Riga Mariners have won more games recently than BFC Daugavpils.
  • Win probability leans Riga Mariners's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Riga Mariners have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor BFC Daugavpils, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75%
Riga Mariners Rent bur 19%
BFC Daugavpils Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Riga Mariners BFC Daugavpils
Kamper Spilt 32 29
Seire 19 12
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 5 11
Mål Scoret 2.56 1.38
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.38 1.24
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.56 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11. juli 2026 Latvian Cup
Riga Mariners vs BFC Daugavpils
3:4

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Riga Mariners Sammenlign

Toppscorer Pavlovskis A.
2 Mål
Assister Grazis A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.2
Snitt xA / kamp 0.78

BFC Daugavpils Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kivinda D.
2 Mål
Assister Ivanovs E.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Riga Mariners 36 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Riga Mariners BFC Daugavpils

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Riga Mariners's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Defensive concern: BFC Daugavpils conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Riga Mariners remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Riga Mariners VS BFC Daugavpils
2.13 Mål scoret 1.63
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Riga Mariners

(Home)
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3
Riga Mariners
25 Jul
Riga Mariners
1 : 1
JFK Ventspils
18 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Riga Mariners
11 Jul
Riga Mariners
3 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 7

BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1
Ogre United
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1
Jelgava
26 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
19 Jul
Ogre United
0 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga -
Grobina -
Super Nova -
RFS -
Riga FC -
FK Metta -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -