Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Croatian Cup encounter between Rijeka and Slaven Belupo promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Rijeka averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Slaven Belupo shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Rijeka, 0 wins for Slaven Belupo, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.04.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Rijeka and 0.69 for Slaven Belupo, suggesting the primary value lies in the Rijeka double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Rijeka har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Slaven Belupo.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.44 vs 0.69 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Rijeka | Slaven Belupo |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 27 |
| Seire | 15 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 8 |
| Tap | 9 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.97 | 1.85 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Rijeka
Slaven Belupo
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Rijeka Sammenlign
Slaven Belupo Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Rijeka is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Slaven Belupo will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Rijeka's attacks.
Expect Rijeka to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Rijeka vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Slaven Belupo, allowing Rijeka's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Rijeka, while Slaven Belupo takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Rijeka have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Slaven Belupo have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 27 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.
Rijeka remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Slaven Belupo suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning