Sport Picks
Rodina Moscow vs Orenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Kamphendelser
2'
2'
Alexandre Jesus
Assist: Kasadzhikov A.
6'
6'
Egorychev A.
31'
31'
Vasiljev D.
Kampsammendrag
First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow come out ahead of Orenburg on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Rodina Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Orenburg, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Rodina Moscow Rent bur 14%
Orenburg Rent bur 12%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Rodina Moscow | Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 12 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 9 |
| Tap | 11 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.79 | 1.41 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
18. aug. 2026 Russian Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Orenburg
1:4
20. feb. 2026 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Rodina Moscow
0:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Rodina Moscow Sammenlign
Toppscorer Timoshenko I.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.92
Snitt xA / kamp 0.59
Orenburg Sammenlign
Toppscorer Puebla D.
2 Mål Assister Alexandre Jesus
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Rodina Moscow 35 / 100
Orenburg 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Rodina Moscow Orenburg
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Orenburg Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Rodina Moscow's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Orenburg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Rodina Moscow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Rodina Moscow VS Orenburg
1.13 Mål scoret 0.88
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodina Moscow
(Home) 04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
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16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
18 Aug
Rodina Moscow
1 : 4 Orenburg
15 Aug
Rodina Moscow
3 : 3 Akron Togliatti
04 Aug
Rodina Moscow
5 : 0 Rubin Kazan
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Orenburg
(Away) 10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0 Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Orenburg
3 : 2 Tekstilshtik
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
22 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Orenburg
18 Aug
Rodina Moscow
1 : 4 Orenburg
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
