Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Romania vs Lithuania

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Stadionul Steaua, Bucharest
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

4' Event
Mihaila V.
Assist: Stanciu N.
8'
Matulevicius G.
34' Event
Kucys A.
Assist: Lasickas J.

Kampsammendrag

Romania in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Romania.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Romania
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Lithuania
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Romania

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Lithuania haven't matched Romania's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Romania taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Romania have taken 5 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Romania Rent bur 68%
Lithuania Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Romania Lithuania
Kamper Spilt 30 28
Seire 15 6
Uavgjort 6 5
Tap 9 17
Mål Scoret 1.73 0.82
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.1 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.69 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15. okt. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Romania
1:2
9. sep. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Lithuania
3:1
17. nov. 2018 UEFA Nations League
Romania vs Lithuania
3:0
11. okt. 2018 UEFA Nations League
Lithuania vs Romania
1:2
23. mars 2016 Friendly International
Romania vs Lithuania
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Romania Sammenlign

Toppscorer Mihaila V.
1 Mål
Assister Mitrita A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.3
Snitt xA / kamp 0.84

Lithuania Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kucys A.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.08
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Romania 86 / 100
Lithuania 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Romania Lithuania

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Romania Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Romania found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Lithuania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Romania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Romania VS Lithuania
1.63 Mål scoret 0.75
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Romania

(Home)
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1
Wales
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1
Romania
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0
Romania
26 Mar
Turkey
1 : 0
Romania
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

Lithuania

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0
Lithuania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Kosovo 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
3 Cyprus 6 2 0 4 4:15 6
4 Lithuania 6 0 0 6 4:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
2 Bulgaria 6 2 3 1 3:6 9
3 Belarus 6 1 4 1 3:4 7
4 Luxembourg 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Macedonia 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Armenia 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Faroe Islands 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Latvia 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)