Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rwanda vs Libya

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Rwanda Logo

Rwanda

0 - 1
Slutt
Libya Logo

Libya

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

46'
Bytte
Gueulette S. Inn: Dushimimana O.
Ut: Gueulette S.
46'
Bytte
Kwizera J. Inn: Muhire K.
Ut: Kwizera J.
60'
Al Wuheeshi M.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Libya in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Rwanda
33%
Uavgjort
27%
Libya
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Rwanda

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Rwanda haven't matched Libya's recent run of results.
  • Rwanda are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Libya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libya, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 50.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rwanda Rent bur 68%
Libya Rent bur 18%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Rwanda Libya
Kamper Spilt 28 30
Seire 10 13
Uavgjort 6 11
Tap 12 6
Mål Scoret 0.75 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.25 0.88
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.75 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Rwanda vs Libya
0:1
4. sep. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Rwanda
1:1
23. jan. 2018 African Nations Championship
Rwanda vs Libya
0:1
7. des. 2017 CECAFA Championship
Rwanda vs Libya
0:0
17. nov. 2015 World Championship
Rwanda vs Libya
1:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Rwanda Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.58
Snitt xA / kamp 0.38

Libya Sammenlign

Toppscorer Al Mesmari F.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.91
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Rwanda 50 / 100
Libya 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Rwanda Libya

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips RWA Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Libya conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rwanda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Rwanda's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Måltrender

Rwanda VS Libya
0.75 Mål scoret 1
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rwanda

(Home)
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1
Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1
Rwanda
Page 1 of 6

Libya

(Away)
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)