Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Division 1 2021/2022 encounter between Saipa and Shahin Bushehr promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Saipa averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Shahin Bushehr shows a form average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Saipa, 1 wins for Shahin Bushehr, and 4 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.05.22 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Saipa and 0.88 for Shahin Bushehr, suggesting the primary value lies in the Saipa double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Saipa har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Shahin Bushehr.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Saipa | Shahin Bushehr |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 41 | 30 |
| Seire | 20 | 2 |
| Uavgjort | 13 | 8 |
| Tap | 8 | 20 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.17 | 0.43 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.76 | 1.7 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Saipa
Shahin Bushehr
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Saipa is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Shahin Bushehr will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Saipa's attacks.
Expect Saipa to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Saipa vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Shahin Bushehr, allowing Saipa's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Saipa, while Shahin Bushehr takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Saipa have found the net in 78% of their last 41 matches.
Shahin Bushehr have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.
Saipa remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Shahin Bushehr suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malavan | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 40:15 | 71 |
| 2 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 40:10 | 70 |
| 3 | Arman Gohar | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:26 | 61 |
| 4 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47:29 | 59 |
| 5 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 37:36 | 52 |
| 6 | Khoosheh Talai | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:39 | 50 |
| 7 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 30:23 | 46 |
| 8 | Esteghlal Molasani | 34 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 31:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 10 | Shahrdari Hamedan | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 27:24 | 43 |
| 11 | Shahrdari Astara | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 26:29 | 42 |
| 12 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 37:34 | 40 |
| 13 | Saipa | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 33:35 | 40 |
| 14 | Qashqai Shiraz | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 26:34 | 39 |
| 15 | Rayka Babol | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 32:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Vista Toorbin | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 26:33 | 37 |
| 17 | Shahin Bushehr | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 14:55 | 15 |
| 18 | Machine Sazi Tabriz | 34 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29:81 | 12 |
| 19 | Baderan Tehran | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |