Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Division 1 2022/2023 encounter between Saipa and Shahrdari Hamedan promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Saipa averages 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in recent matches. Shahrdari Hamedan shows a form average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Saipa, 0 wins for Shahrdari Hamedan, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.05.23 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Saipa and 0.88 for Shahrdari Hamedan, suggesting the primary value lies in the Saipa double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Saipa har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Shahrdari Hamedan.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Saipa | Shahrdari Hamedan |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 37 | 29 |
| Seire | 19 | 5 |
| Uavgjort | 10 | 10 |
| Tap | 8 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.97 | 0.52 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.65 | 0.97 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Saipa
Shahrdari Hamedan
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Saipa Sammenlign
Shahrdari Hamedan Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Saipa is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Shahrdari Hamedan will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Saipa's attacks.
Expect Saipa to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Saipa vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Shahrdari Hamedan, allowing Saipa's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Saipa, while Shahrdari Hamedan takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Saipa have found the net in 76% of their last 37 matches.
Shahrdari Hamedan have conceded at least one goal in 59% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.75 goals per match.
Saipa remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Shahrdari Hamedan suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 66:24 | 70 |
| 2 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 32 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Saipa | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 30:22 | 55 |
| 4 | Fajr Sepasi | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 40:25 | 53 |
| 5 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 32:16 | 52 |
| 6 | Mes Shahr Babak | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 24:20 | 45 |
| 7 | Vanpars | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 32:29 | 45 |
| 8 | Chadormalu | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:31 | 45 |
| 9 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 26:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Darya Babol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 26:25 | 38 |
| 11 | Esteghlal Molasani | 32 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 27:42 | 37 |
| 12 | Khoosheh Talai | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 13 | Arman Gohar | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 28:45 | 31 |
| 14 | Shahrdari Astara | 32 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 14:27 | 30 |
| 15 | Shahrdari Hamedan | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 16:29 | 29 |
| 16 | Khalij Fars Mahshahr | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 21:42 | 29 |
| 17 | Chooka Talesh | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29:54 | 22 |
| 18 | Omid Vahdat Khorasan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Shahr Khodrou | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Qashqai Shiraz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |