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San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

46'
Bytte
Carli E. Inn: Bell M.
Ut: Carli E.
64' Event
Mendoza E.
(Straffe)
69'
Gnaulati X.

Kampsammendrag

The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
San Jose Earthquakes II
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Tacoma Defiance
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: San Jose Earthquakes II

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Tacoma Defiance come out ahead of San Jose Earthquakes II on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Jose Earthquakes II a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 82%).
  • History favors Tacoma Defiance here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 82%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
San Jose Earthquakes II Rent bur 10%
Tacoma Defiance Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 14 15
Uavgjort 0 0
Tap 15 14
Mål Scoret 1.93 1.66
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.48 1.62
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. sep. 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
1:2
13. juli 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
15. mars 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:0
28. sep. 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
4. juli 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
5:4

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

San Jose Earthquakes II Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.81

Tacoma Defiance Sammenlign

Toppscorer O'Neill M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.71
Snitt xA / kamp 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 56 / 100
Tacoma Defiance 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips San Jose Earthquakes II Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tacoma Defiance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Jose Earthquakes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Tacoma Defiance
1.13 Mål scoret 2
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

Tacoma Defiance

(Away)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)