Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
man. 12. okt. 2026
1 - 0
12:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

1'
Alvarez D.
6' Event
Allen T.
Assist: Heisner J.

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tacoma Defiance have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while San Jose Earthquakes II have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Tacoma Defiance slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 6. sep. 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.88) back Tacoma Defiance to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
San Jose Earthquakes II
22%
Uavgjort
18%
Tacoma Defiance
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: San Jose Earthquakes II

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Tacoma Defiance have won more games recently than San Jose Earthquakes II.
  • Win probability leans San Jose Earthquakes II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Tacoma Defiance arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tacoma Defiance, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tacoma Defiance have taken 5 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 82%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
San Jose Earthquakes II Rent bur 10%
Tacoma Defiance Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 14 15
Uavgjort 0 0
Tap 15 14
Mål Scoret 1.93 1.66
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.48 1.62
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.63 1.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. sep. 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
1:2
13. juli 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
15. mars 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:0
28. sep. 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
4. juli 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
5:4

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

San Jose Earthquakes II Sammenlign

Toppscorer Allen T.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.81

Tacoma Defiance Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.71
Snitt xA / kamp 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes II 56 / 100
Tacoma Defiance 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips San Jose Earthquakes II Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tacoma Defiance has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Jose Earthquakes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

San Jose Earthquakes II VS Tacoma Defiance
1.13 Mål scoret 2
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Home)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

Tacoma Defiance

(Away)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
New York Red Bulls II -
Huntsville City -
San Jose Earthquakes II -
Tacoma Defiance -