Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 San Marino Stadium

Cyprus

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Cyprus is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to San Marino, backed by a win probability of 68%. San Marino averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. Cyprus shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for San Marino, 5 wins for Cyprus, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.10.25 ended in a 0:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for San Marino and 3.13 for Cyprus, suggesting the primary value lies in the Cyprus double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

17%

San Marino

15%

Uavgjort

68%

Cyprus

Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Cyprus

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

94% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet

San Marino har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Cyprus.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.13 vs 3.13 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 65%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 88%

Over 1.5 Mål 81%

Over 2.5 Mål 65%

Over 3.5 Mål 39%

Over 4.5 Mål 20%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 44%

San Marino Rent bur 10%

Cyprus Rent bur 13%

Mål 1. omgang 73%

Mål 2. omgang 77%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	San Marino	Cyprus
Kamper Spilt	30	28
Seire	2	8
Uavgjort	3	5
Tap	25	15
Mål Scoret	0.57	1.21
Mål Sluppet Inn	2.8	1.89
Forventede Mål (xG)	0.50	1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	4.63	1.75

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12.10.25 World Championship

San Marino vs Cyprus

Ballbesittelse: 50% - 50% Kort: 1 - 4

0:4

21.03.25 World Championship

Cyprus vs San Marino

Ballbesittelse: 58% - 49% Kort: 1 - 1

2:0

11.06.24 Friendly International

San Marino vs Cyprus

Ballbesittelse: 59% - 49% Kort: 1 - 1

1:4

09.09.19 Euro

San Marino vs Cyprus

Ballbesittelse: 47% - 51% Kort: 3 - 0

0:4

21.03.19 Euro

Cyprus vs San Marino

Ballbesittelse: 57% - 42% Kort: 2 - 4

5:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

San Marino

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Cyprus

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

San Marino Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A

0 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.38

Snitt xA / kamp 0.25

Cyprus Sammenlign

Toppscorer Loizou L.

1 Mål

Assister Andreou S.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.48

Snitt xA / kamp 0.91

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

San Marino 17 / 100

Cyprus 64 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

San Marino Cyprus

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Cyprus Win (2)

Sekundærtips Cyprus & Over 2.5

Halvtidstips Draw (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Cyprus will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

San Marino 19%

Cyprus 54%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

San Marino will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Cyprus's early runs.

San Marino 16%

Cyprus 71%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Cyprus to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as San Marino tries to push forward.

San Marino 17%

Cyprus 68%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Cyprus increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

San Marino 18%

Cyprus 65%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for San Marino's defense, opening up opportunities for Cyprus's forward line.

San Marino 15%

Cyprus 75%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Cyprus to manage the closing stages, while San Marino searches for late drama.

San Marino 20%

Cyprus 78%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

San Marino angriper → ← angriper Cyprus

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

San Marino have found the net in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Cyprus have conceded at least one goal in 82% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

San Marino remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Cyprus suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

9 Poeng siste 5 29

0.50 Forventede mål (xG) 1.63

4.63 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0