Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Brasilis is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Sao Judas Tadeu, backed by a win probability of 58%. Sao Judas Tadeu averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Brasilis shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Sao Judas Tadeu, 2 wins for Brasilis, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.07.11 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.67 for Sao Judas Tadeu and 0.80 for Brasilis, suggesting the primary value lies in the Brasilis double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Sao Judas Tadeu har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Brasilis.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.67 vs 0.80 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 57%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Sao Judas Tadeu | Brasilis |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 10 | 32 |
| Seire | 1 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 1 | 9 |
| Tap | 8 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.9 | 0.94 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.8 | 1.84 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Sao Judas Tadeu
Brasilis
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Brasilis will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Sao Judas Tadeu will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Brasilis's early runs.
Expect Brasilis to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Sao Judas Tadeu tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Brasilis increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Sao Judas Tadeu's defense, opening up opportunities for Brasilis's forward line.
Expect Brasilis to manage the closing stages, while Sao Judas Tadeu searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Sao Judas Tadeu have found the net in 50% of their last 10 matches.
Brasilis have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Sao Judas Tadeu remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Brasilis suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Votuporanguense | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:14 | 20 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Fernandopolis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tupa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Tanabi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Assisense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:21 | 10 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barretos EC | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 25:12 | 26 |
| 2 | Guariba | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Ole Brasil | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 4 | Olimpia FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Jaboticabal Atletico | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 26:22 | 18 |
| 6 | Americo EC | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21:31 | 7 |
| 7 | Matonense | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:36 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Palmeirinha SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Guacuano | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Brasilis | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 14 |
| 5 | Sao Judas Tadeu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 6 | Lencoense | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9:33 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportivo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 2 | Sumare | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Cotia | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27:23 | 23 |
| 4 | Capivariano | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 30:20 | 21 |
| 5 | Primavera EC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17:15 | 20 |
| 6 | SKA Brasil | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Lemense | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16:30 | 14 |
| 8 | Elosport | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:29 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarulhos | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 27:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Jacarei (Inactive) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:13 | 27 |
| 3 | FC Primeira Camisa | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25:13 | 24 |
| 4 | ECUS SP | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 12:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Uniao Suzano | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Jacarei FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Manthiqueira | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 8 | Uniao Mogi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13:28 | 8 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 21:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Sao Vicente | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29:19 | 29 |
| 3 | EC Sao Bernardo | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Guaruja | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 27:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Jabaquara | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21:24 | 21 |
| 7 | Nacional SP | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16:32 | 5 |
| 8 | Palestra | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8:38 | 4 |