Sport Picks
Sarasota Paradise vs Charlotte Independence - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Premier Sports Campus, Lakewood Ranch, FL 
Kamphendelser
7'
7'
Romero J.
17'
17'
Marou S.
Assist: Bakero J.
24'
24'
Roed S.
Assist: Bryant E.
Kampsammendrag
Charlotte Independence in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte Independence.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
70%
17%
13%
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Sarasota Paradise
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
88%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Charlotte Independence lately — more wins on the board than Sarasota Paradise.
- Win probability leans Sarasota Paradise's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79%
Sarasota Paradise Rent bur 12%
Charlotte Independence Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Sarasota Paradise | Charlotte Independence |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 31 |
| Seire | 9 | 22 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 5 |
| Tap | 12 | 4 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.44 | 2.32 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
3. okt. 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Charlotte Independence
2:3
15. aug. 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Sarasota Paradise
3:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Sarasota Paradise Sammenlign
Toppscorer Roed S.
1 Mål Assister Bolanos J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 1
Charlotte Independence Sammenlign
Toppscorer Marou S.
2 Mål Assister Stefano Pinho
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.59
Snitt xA / kamp 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Sarasota Paradise 65 / 100
Charlotte Independence 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Sarasota Paradise Charlotte Independence
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Sarasota Paradise Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Charlotte Independence let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Sarasota Paradise's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Sarasota Paradise went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Sarasota Paradise VS Charlotte Independence
2.5 Mål scoret 2.25
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarasota Paradise
(Home) 03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Aug
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
29 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
Charlotte Independence
(Away) 10 Oct
Charlotte Independence
3 : 0 New York Cosmos
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
