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Sarasota Paradise vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Premier Sports Campus, Lakewood Ranch, FL
ons. 21. okt. 2026
VS
10:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Sarasota Paradise host FC Naples in the USL League One. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sarasota Paradise have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against FC Naples's 1.04 scored and 1.82 conceded. Head-to-head, Sarasota Paradise have won 1 to FC Naples's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 6. juni 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.19) back Sarasota Paradise to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Sarasota Paradise
22%
Uavgjort
18%
FC Naples
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Sarasota Paradise

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Sarasota Paradise carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sarasota Paradise a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors FC Naples here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Sarasota Paradise Rent bur 20%
FC Naples Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Sarasota Paradise FC Naples
Kamper Spilt 27 28
Seire 9 8
Uavgjort 6 3
Tap 12 17
Mål Scoret 1.44 1.04
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.67 1.82
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.19
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. juni 2026 USL Cup
FC Naples vs Sarasota Paradise
0:2
11. apr. 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Sarasota Paradise
2:0
18. mars 2025 US Open Cup
Sarasota Paradise vs FC Naples
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 58 / 100
FC Naples 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Sarasota Paradise FC Naples

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Sarasota Paradise Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: FC Naples conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Sarasota Paradise found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sarasota Paradise stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Sarasota Paradise VS FC Naples
2.5 Mål scoret 1.13
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

FC Naples

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)