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Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Premier Sports Campus, Lakewood Ranch, FL
lør. 10. okt. 2026
3 - 2
11:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

23' Event
Lucca Dourado
Assist: Pannholzer T.
29' Event
Amer A.
Assist: Lucca Dourado
36' Event
Kiingi K.
Assist: Bryant E.

Kampsammendrag

Sarasota Paradise host Richmond Kickers in the USL League One. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Richmond Kickers have shipped 2.2 goals a game lately, while Sarasota Paradise have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.44. Head-to-head, Sarasota Paradise have won 1 to Richmond Kickers's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 10. okt. 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.38 - 1.31) back Sarasota Paradise to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Sarasota Paradise
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Richmond Kickers
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Sarasota Paradise

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Sarasota Paradise come out ahead of Richmond Kickers on wins alone.
  • Sarasota Paradise are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.6%
Sarasota Paradise Rent bur 18%
Richmond Kickers Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Sarasota Paradise Richmond Kickers
Kamper Spilt 27 30
Seire 9 7
Uavgjort 6 4
Tap 12 19
Mål Scoret 1.44 1.07
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.67 2.2
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.38 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10. okt. 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers
3:2
3. juli 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise
0:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Sarasota Paradise Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kiingi K.
1 Mål
Assister Gall R.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.83
Snitt xA / kamp 1.19

Richmond Kickers Sammenlign

Toppscorer Lucca Dourado
1 Mål
Assister Amer A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.19
Snitt xA / kamp 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 85 / 100
Richmond Kickers 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Sarasota Paradise Richmond Kickers

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Sarasota Paradise Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Richmond Kickers conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Sarasota Paradise scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sarasota Paradise went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Sarasota Paradise VS Richmond Kickers
2.5 Mål scoret 1.38
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

Richmond Kickers

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)