Sport Picks
Saulininkas Siauliai vs Jonava
Lithuania
Lithuanian Cup 2018 
Kampsammendrag
Jonava is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Saulininkas Siauliai, backed by a win probability of 59%. Saulininkas Siauliai averages 1.7 goals scored and 3.5 conceded in recent matches. Jonava shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Saulininkas Siauliai, 1 wins for Jonava, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.05.18 ended in a 2:11 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.42 for Saulininkas Siauliai and 0.99 for Jonava, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jonava double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Saulininkas Siauliai har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Jonava.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.42 vs 0.99 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 64%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Saulininkas Siauliai | Jonava |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 13 | 31 |
| Seire | 3 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 0 | 8 |
| Tap | 10 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 3.54 | 1.42 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Saulininkas Siauliai
Jonava
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Saulininkas Siauliai Sammenlign
Jonava Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Jonava will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Saulininkas Siauliai will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Jonava's early runs.
Expect Jonava to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Saulininkas Siauliai tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Jonava increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Saulininkas Siauliai's defense, opening up opportunities for Jonava's forward line.
Expect Jonava to manage the closing stages, while Saulininkas Siauliai searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Saulininkas Siauliai have found the net in 85% of their last 13 matches.
Jonava have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 13.00 goals per match.
Saulininkas Siauliai remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Jonava suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning