Sport Picks
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Kampsammendrag
Septemvri Simitli in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Simitli.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
27%
33%
40%
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Kostinbrod
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
70%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Septemvri Simitli average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Kostinbrod's 1.14.
- Model gives Kostinbrod a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
Septemvri Simitli Rent bur 12%
Kostinbrod Rent bur 14%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Septemvri Simitli | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 29 |
| Seire | 14 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 3 |
| Tap | 11 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
1. aug. 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
2:0
16. mai 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
4:1
1. nov. 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli
2:3
25. mai 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
0:0
11. nov. 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Septemvri Simitli 27 / 100
Kostinbrod 39 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Septemvri Simitli Kostinbrod
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Kostinbrod Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Septemvri Simitli found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Kostinbrod conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Kostinbrod registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Septemvri Simitli VS Kostinbrod
1.25 Mål scoret 1.38
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Simitli
(Home) 03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 3
Kostinbrod
(Away) 03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1 Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3 Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1 Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2 Kostinbrod
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
