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Shimal vs Baku Sporting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
tor. 22. okt. 2026
VS
11:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Shimal host Baku Sporting in the I Liqa. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Shimal have averaged 0.93 scored and 2.24 conceded recently, against Baku Sporting's 1.1 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Baku Sporting slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 23. apr. 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Baku Sporting. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Shimal
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Baku Sporting
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Shimal

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Baku Sporting come out ahead of Shimal on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Shimal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Baku Sporting have taken 2 of them.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
Shimal Rent bur 20%
Baku Sporting Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Shimal Baku Sporting
Kamper Spilt 29 30
Seire 6 12
Uavgjort 5 9
Tap 18 9
Mål Scoret 0.93 1.1
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.24 0.93
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.31 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. apr. 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Baku Sporting
1:0
17. des. 2025 I Liqa
Shimal vs Baku Sporting
0:1
25. sep. 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Shimal
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Shimal 76 / 100
Baku Sporting 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Shimal Baku Sporting

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Shimal Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Baku Sporting let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Shimal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Baku Sporting has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Shimal VS Baku Sporting
1.13 Mål scoret 1
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
04 Sept
Shimal
1 : 2
Gancabasar
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

Baku Sporting

(Away)
10 Oct
Gancabasar
2 : 0
Baku Sporting
17 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 1
Sabail
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
8 Shimal 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
9 Mingachevir 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)