Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This K3 League encounter between Siheung Citizen and Mokpo promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Siheung Citizen averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Mokpo shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Siheung Citizen, 0 wins for Mokpo, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 31.05.26 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Siheung Citizen and 0.51 for Mokpo, suggesting the primary value lies in the Siheung Citizen double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Siheung Citizen har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Mokpo.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.13 vs 0.51 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Siheung Citizen | Mokpo |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 29 |
| Seire | 19 | 5 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 10 |
| Tap | 4 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.37 | 0.66 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.8 | 1.52 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Siheung Citizen
Mokpo
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Siheung Citizen Sammenlign
Mokpo Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Siheung Citizen is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Mokpo will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Siheung Citizen's attacks.
Expect Siheung Citizen to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Siheung Citizen vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Mokpo, allowing Siheung Citizen's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Siheung Citizen, while Mokpo takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Siheung Citizen have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Mokpo have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.20 goals per match.
Siheung Citizen remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Mokpo suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 24:12 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 34 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27:11 | 31 |
| 4 | Busan Kyotong | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Changwon | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:15 | 24 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 7 | Yeoju Citizen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:21 | 21 |
| 8 | Gangneung | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Chuncheon | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29:28 | 16 |
| 10 | Gyeongju KHNP | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16:19 | 16 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Mokpo | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk 2 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17:35 | 9 |