Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Slovakia vs Germany

World World

World Championship 2026 Tehelné pole
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This World Championship 2026 encounter between Slovakia and Germany promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Slovakia averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Germany shows a form average of 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Slovakia, 3 wins for Germany, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.11.25 ended in a 6:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.00 for Slovakia and 2.38 for Germany, suggesting the primary value lies in the Germany double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

38%
Slovakia
15%
Uavgjort
47%
Germany
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Germany

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

73% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Slovakia har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Germany.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.00 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 58%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 89%
Over 1.5 Mål 83%
Over 2.5 Mål 58%
Over 3.5 Mål 35%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 49%
Slovakia Rent bur 10%
Germany Rent bur 15%
Mål 1. omgang 75%
Mål 2. omgang 79%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Slovakia Germany
Kamper Spilt 31 29
Seire 16 19
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 10 6
Mål Scoret 1.48 2.55
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.19 1.03
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 2.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17.11.25 World Championship
Germany vs Slovakia
6:0
04.09.25 World Championship
Slovakia vs Germany
2:0
26.06.16 Euro
Germany vs Slovakia
3:0
29.05.16 Friendly International
Germany vs Slovakia
1:3
06.06.07 Euro
Germany vs Slovakia
2:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Slovakia

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Germany

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Slovakia Sammenlign

Toppscorer Hancko D.
1 Mål
Assister Strelec D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75

Germany Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.62
Snitt xA / kamp 1.6

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Slovakia 36 / 100
Germany 45 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Slovakia Germany

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Germany or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Slovakia 42%
Germany 38%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Slovakia 36%
Germany 49%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Slovakia 38%
Germany 47%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Slovakia 40%
Germany 45%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Slovakia 34%
Germany 52%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Slovakia 44%
Germany 54%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Slovakia angriper → ← angriper Germany

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Slovakia have found the net in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Germany have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Slovakia remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Germany suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

53 Poeng siste 5 61
1.50 Forventede mål (xG) 2.88
1.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280