Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 City Arena Trnava

Luxembourg

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Slovakia enters this World Championship 2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 58%. Slovakia averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Luxembourg shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Slovakia, 0 wins for Luxembourg, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.10.25 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.38 for Slovakia and 1.00 for Luxembourg, suggesting the primary value lies in the Slovakia double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

58%

Slovakia

17%

Uavgjort

25%

Luxembourg

Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Slovakia

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

85% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet

Slovakia har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Luxembourg.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.38 vs 1.00 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%

Over 1.5 Mål 64%

Over 2.5 Mål 39%

Over 3.5 Mål 23%

Over 4.5 Mål 12%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 33%

Slovakia Rent bur 23%

Luxembourg Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 58%

Mål 2. omgang 61%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Slovakia	Luxembourg
Kamper Spilt	31	30
Seire	16	8
Uavgjort	5	5
Tap	10	17
Mål Scoret	1.48	0.77
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.19	1.57
Forventede Mål (xG)	1.13	0.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

13.10.25 World Championship

Slovakia vs Luxembourg

Ballbesittelse: 46% - 43% Kort: 2 - 4

2:0

07.09.25 World Championship

Luxembourg vs Slovakia

Ballbesittelse: 54% - 58% Kort: 3 - 3

0:1

16.10.23 Euro

Luxembourg vs Slovakia

Ballbesittelse: 60% - 57% Kort: 3 - 3

0:1

23.03.23 Euro

Slovakia vs Luxembourg

Ballbesittelse: 43% - 52% Kort: 3 - 1

0:0

12.10.15 Euro

Luxembourg vs Slovakia

Ballbesittelse: 58% - 49% Kort: 1 - 2

2:4

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Slovakia

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Luxembourg

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Slovakia Sammenlign

Toppscorer Obert A.

1 Mål

Assister Schranz I.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.87

Snitt xA / kamp 0.56

Luxembourg Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A

0 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.35

Snitt xA / kamp 0.21

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Slovakia 57 / 100

Luxembourg 25 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Slovakia Luxembourg

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Slovakia Win (1)

Sekundærtips Slovakia & Under 3.5

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Slovakia is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Slovakia 64%

Luxembourg 20%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Luxembourg will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Slovakia's attacks.

Slovakia 55%

Luxembourg 26%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Slovakia to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Slovakia 58%

Luxembourg 25%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Slovakia vary their attacking width.

Slovakia 61%

Luxembourg 24%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Luxembourg, allowing Slovakia's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Slovakia 52%

Luxembourg 28%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Slovakia, while Luxembourg takes risks to salvage a result.

Slovakia 67%

Luxembourg 29%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Slovakia angriper → ← angriper Luxembourg

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Slovakia have found the net in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Luxembourg have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Slovakia remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Luxembourg suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

53 Poeng siste 5 29

1.13 Forventede mål (xG) 0.38

1.63 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0