Sport Picks
South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
Australia Cup AAMI Park, Melbourne 
Kamphendelser
4'
4'
Eliopoulos J.
42'
42'
Yoo D.
46'
46'
Bytte
Eliopoulos J. Inn: Retre P.
Ut: Eliopoulos J.
Kampsammendrag
South Melbourne in this Australia Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- South Melbourne have won more games recently than Melbourne Victory.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- South Melbourne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 13.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
South Melbourne Rent bur 20%
Melbourne Victory Rent bur 13%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | South Melbourne | Melbourne Victory |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 33 | 28 |
| Seire | 20 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 7 |
| Tap | 11 | 7 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.88 | 1.79 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.33 | 1.04 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.15 | 1.21 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
South Melbourne Sammenlign
Toppscorer Mikkola M.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.88
Snitt xA / kamp 0.57
Melbourne Victory Sammenlign
Toppscorer Genreau D.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.1
Snitt xA / kamp 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
South Melbourne 36 / 100
Melbourne Victory 21 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
South Melbourne Melbourne Victory
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Melbourne Victory Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
South Melbourne scored in 82% of their last 33 games.
Melbourne Victory has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
South Melbourne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
South Melbourne VS Melbourne Victory
2 Mål scoret 1.43
1 Mål sluppet inn 0.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
South Melbourne
(Home) 15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1 South Melbourne
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0 South Melbourne
26 Aug
Preston Lions
1 : 2 South Melbourne
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1 Queensland Lions
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1 Heidelberg Utd
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2 Heidelberg Utd
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3 Fremantle City
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0 St Albans
Page 1 of 4
Melbourne Victory
(Away) 16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1 Melbourne Victory
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2 Melbourne Victory
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2 Melbourne Victory
26 Jul
Kingborough Lions
0 : 4 Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1 Melbourne Victory
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2 Melbourne Victory
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1 Melbourne Victory
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2 Melbourne Victory
26 Jul
Kingborough Lions
0 : 4 Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -
