Sport Picks
Southampton vs Derby
England
Championship 2025/2026 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton 
Kamphendelser
9'
9'
Bytte
Clark B. Inn: Fraulo O.
Ut: Clark B.
38'
38'
Morris C.
53'
53'
Sanderson D.
Kampsammendrag
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Southampton and Derby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Southampton
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Southampton carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Southampton a 90% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.4%
Southampton Rent bur 20%
Derby Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Southampton | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 19 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 2 |
| Tap | 3 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.07 | 1.28 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1 | 1.48 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.94 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
11. apr. 2026 Championship
Southampton vs Derby
2:1
4. okt. 2025 Championship
Derby vs Southampton
1:1
16. jan. 2019 FA Cup
Southampton vs Derby
2:3
5. jan. 2019 FA Cup
Derby vs Southampton
2:2
21. juli 2018 Club Friendly
Derby vs Southampton
3:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Southampton Sammenlign
Toppscorer Scienza L.
1 Mål Assister Harwood-Bellis T.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.49
Snitt xA / kamp 0.97
Derby Sammenlign
Toppscorer Morris C.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.03
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Southampton 85 / 100
Derby 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Southampton Derby
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Southampton Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Southampton's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Southampton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Derby let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Måltrender
Southampton VS Derby
2.13 Mål scoret 0.88
1.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Southampton
(Home) 12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
01 Sept
Birmingham
1 : 1 Southampton
29 Aug
Southampton
5 : 1 Millwall
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
29 Aug
Southampton
5 : 1 Millwall
25 Aug
Southampton
1 : 4 West Ham
22 Aug
Southampton
3 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
Derby
(Away) 12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2 Birmingham
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1 West Brom
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0 Derby
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2 Derby
29 Aug
Derby
0 : 3 Swansea
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0 Derby
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2 Derby
15 Aug
Charlton
2 : 1 Derby
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
