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Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
søn. 18. okt. 2026
VS
10:20 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. San Lorenzo have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Sp. Luqueno have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor San Lorenzo slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 9. aug. 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.06) back Sp. Luqueno to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Sp. Luqueno
30%
Uavgjort
34%
San Lorenzo
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Sp. Luqueno

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Sp. Luqueno lately — more wins on the board than San Lorenzo.
  • Win probability leans Sp. Luqueno's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Sp. Luqueno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor San Lorenzo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.2%
Sp. Luqueno Rent bur 20%
San Lorenzo Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Sp. Luqueno San Lorenzo
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 8 5
Uavgjort 5 7
Tap 16 16
Mål Scoret 1.14 0.61
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.62 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

9. aug. 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
0:2
17. mai 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
0:0
13. mars 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo
1:1
2. okt. 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0
24. juni 2022 Division Intermedia
Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 36 / 100
San Lorenzo 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Sp. Luqueno San Lorenzo

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Sp. Luqueno's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Lorenzo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sp. Luqueno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Sp. Luqueno VS San Lorenzo
1.25 Mål scoret 0.5
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)