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Spain U16 W vs Belgium U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Friendly International Women 2024 encounter between Spain U16 W and Belgium U16 W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Spain U16 W averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Belgium U16 W shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Spain U16 W, 0 wins for Belgium U16 W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.03.24 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.13 for Spain U16 W and 0.88 for Belgium U16 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Spain U16 W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

51%
Spain U16 W
15%
Uavgjort
34%
Belgium U16 W
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Spain U16 W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

77% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Spain U16 W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Belgium U16 W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.13 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 69%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 81%
Over 2.5 Mål 69%
Over 3.5 Mål 41%
Over 4.5 Mål 21%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 38%
Spain U16 W Rent bur 25%
Belgium U16 W Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 73%
Mål 2. omgang 77%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Spain U16 W Belgium U16 W
Kamper Spilt 12 12
Seire 7 6
Uavgjort 1 0
Tap 4 6
Mål Scoret 2.08 1.33
Mål Sluppet Inn 1 2.08
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.25 2.50

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15.03.24 Friendly International Women
Spain U16 W vs Belgium U16 W
3:0
26.05.23 Friendly International Women
Spain U16 W vs Belgium U16 W
3:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Spain U16 W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Belgium U16 W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Spain U16 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer Alvarez A.
1 Mål
Assister Rodriguez C.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88

Belgium U16 W Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.83

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Spain U16 W 51 / 100
Belgium U16 W 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Spain U16 W Belgium U16 W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Spain U16 W or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Spain U16 W 56%
Belgium U16 W 27%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Spain U16 W 48%
Belgium U16 W 36%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Spain U16 W 51%
Belgium U16 W 34%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Spain U16 W 54%
Belgium U16 W 32%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Spain U16 W 46%
Belgium U16 W 37%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Spain U16 W 59%
Belgium U16 W 39%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Spain U16 W angriper → ← angriper Belgium U16 W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Spain U16 W have found the net in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Belgium U16 W have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 12 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Spain U16 W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Belgium U16 W suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Spain U16 W and Belgium U16 W will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

22 Poeng siste 5 18
1.75 Forventede mål (xG) 1.50
0.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.50