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World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Georgia

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Spain enters this World Championship 2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 57%. Spain averages 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Georgia shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for Spain, 0 wins for Georgia, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.11.25 ended in a 0:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.94 for Spain and 0.75 for Georgia, suggesting the primary value lies in the Spain double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

57%

Spain

15%

Uavgjort

28%

Georgia

Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Spain

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

83% / Høy Sikkerhet

Spain har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Georgia.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.94 vs 0.75 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 66%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%

Over 1.5 Mål 84%

Over 2.5 Mål 66%

Over 3.5 Mål 40%

Over 4.5 Mål 20%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 53%

Spain Rent bur 27%

Georgia Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 76%

Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Spain	Georgia
Kamper Spilt	29	30
Seire	22	13
Uavgjort	6	6
Tap	1	11
Mål Scoret	2.59	1.67
Mål Sluppet Inn	0.86	1.33
Forventede Mål (xG)	2.00	1.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	0.38	1.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

15.11.25 World Championship

Georgia vs Spain

Ballbesittelse: 43% - 58% Kort: 2 - 3

0:4

11.10.25 World Championship

Spain vs Georgia

Ballbesittelse: 46% - 47% Kort: 4 - 2

2:0

30.06.24 Euro

Spain vs Georgia

Ballbesittelse: 46% - 59% Kort: 1 - 2

4:1

19.11.23 Euro

Spain vs Georgia

Ballbesittelse: 41% - 49% Kort: 1 - 0

3:1

08.09.23 Euro

Georgia vs Spain

Ballbesittelse: 55% - 60% Kort: 1 - 1

1:7

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Spain

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Georgia

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Spain Sammenlign

Toppscorer Pino Y.

1 Mål

Assister Oyarzabal M.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.54

Snitt xA / kamp 1

Georgia Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A

0 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.03

Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Spain 57 / 100

Georgia 27 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Spain Georgia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Spain Win (1)

Sekundærtips Spain & Over 2.5

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Spain is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Spain 63%

Georgia 22%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Georgia will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Spain's attacks.

Spain 54%

Georgia 29%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Spain to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Spain 57%

Georgia 28%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Spain vary their attacking width.

Spain 60%

Georgia 27%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Georgia, allowing Spain's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Spain 51%

Georgia 31%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Spain, while Georgia takes risks to salvage a result.

Spain 66%

Georgia 32%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Spain angriper → ← angriper Georgia

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Spain have found the net in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Georgia have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.60 goals per match.

Spain remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Georgia suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

72 Poeng siste 5 45

2.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.13

0.38 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0