Sport Picks
Spartak Plovdiv vs Arda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Arda have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Spartak Plovdiv have conceded 1.86 and scored 2.14. Past meetings favor Spartak Plovdiv slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 1. juni 2013, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.94 - 1.38) back Spartak Plovdiv to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
80%
11%
9%
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Spartak Plovdiv
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
93%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Spartak Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Arda.
- Win probability leans Spartak Plovdiv's way, sitting at 80%.
- Spartak Plovdiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arda, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 44%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Spartak Plovdiv Rent bur 17%
Arda Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Spartak Plovdiv | Arda |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 30 |
| Seire | 17 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 5 |
| Tap | 9 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.14 | 1.27 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.86 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
1. juni 2013 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:3
1. des. 2012 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Arda
2:1
21. apr. 2012 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Spartak Plovdiv
4:1
16. okt. 2011 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Arda
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Spartak Plovdiv 75 / 100
Arda 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Spartak Plovdiv Arda
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Spartak Plovdiv's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Arda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Spartak Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Spartak Plovdiv VS Arda
2.5 Mål scoret 1.5
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Plovdiv
(Home) 04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
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04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
22 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Yambol 1915
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Arda
(Away) 02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0 Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1 Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0 Botev Vratsa
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02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0 Arda
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2 Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1 Arda
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
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