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Spartakus Daleszyce vs Sandomierz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2018/2019
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This III Liga - Group IV 2018/2019 encounter between Spartakus Daleszyce and Sandomierz promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Spartakus Daleszyce averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in recent matches. Sandomierz shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Spartakus Daleszyce, 2 wins for Sandomierz, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.05.19 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Spartakus Daleszyce and 3.08 for Sandomierz, suggesting the primary value lies in the Sandomierz double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Spartakus Daleszyce
21%
Uavgjort
48%
Sandomierz
Uavgjort-prognose: 21% Favoritt: Sandomierz

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

77% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Spartakus Daleszyce har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Sandomierz.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.25 vs 3.08 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 67%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 88%
Over 1.5 Mål 84%
Over 2.5 Mål 67%
Over 3.5 Mål 40%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 57%
Spartakus Daleszyce Rent bur 10%
Sandomierz Rent bur 11%
Mål 1. omgang 76%
Mål 2. omgang 80%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Spartakus Daleszyce Sandomierz
Kamper Spilt 30 34
Seire 4 9
Uavgjort 7 7
Tap 19 18
Mål Scoret 1.03 1.32
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.17 2.68
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.00 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 4.67 1.50

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19.05.19 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Sandomierz
2:2
27.10.18 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Spartakus Daleszyce
1:0
09.06.18 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Sandomierz
4:0
11.11.17 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Spartakus Daleszyce
2:0
13.03.16 III Liga - Group VII
Sandomierz vs Spartakus Daleszyce
2:3

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Spartakus Daleszyce

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sandomierz

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Spartakus Daleszyce 30 / 100
Sandomierz 45 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Spartakus Daleszyce Sandomierz

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Sandomierz or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Spartakus Daleszyce 34%
Sandomierz 38%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Spartakus Daleszyce 29%
Sandomierz 50%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Spartakus Daleszyce 31%
Sandomierz 48%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Spartakus Daleszyce 33%
Sandomierz 46%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Spartakus Daleszyce 28%
Sandomierz 53%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Spartakus Daleszyce 36%
Sandomierz 55%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Spartakus Daleszyce angriper → ← angriper Sandomierz

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Spartakus Daleszyce have found the net in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Sandomierz have conceded at least one goal in 85% of their last 34 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

Spartakus Daleszyce remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sandomierz suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

19 Poeng siste 5 34
1.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.50
4.67 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1S. Rzeszow342210287:2776
2Podhale Nowy Targ34237463:2776
3Motor Lublin342010462:3470
4Wisla Pulawy34179841:3160
5Hutnik Krakow341571253:4552
6Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341491151:4351
7Sokol Sieniawa341391249:4348
8Avia Swidnik3411111242:4344
9Orleta Radzyn3410131142:5243
10Stal Krasnik3411101346:4743
11Sandomierz341091537:5739
12Chelmianka Chelm341091542:4939
13Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska349111441:3938
14Sola Oswiecim341081637:5138
15Biala Podlaska341051941:6835
16Wislanie Skawina34981745:6535
17Czarni Polaniec34772036:6328
18Spartakus Daleszyce34582134:6523