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Sporting CP vs Club Brugge

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Estádio José Alvalade
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Champions League 2025/2026 encounter between Sporting CP and Club Brugge promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Sporting CP averages 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Club Brugge shows a form average of 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Sporting CP, 2 wins for Club Brugge, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.11.25 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.31 for Sporting CP and 1.88 for Club Brugge, suggesting the primary value lies in the Club Brugge double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

41%
Sporting CP
15%
Uavgjort
44%
Club Brugge
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Club Brugge

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Sporting CP har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Club Brugge.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 80%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 89%
Over 2.5 Mål 80%
Over 3.5 Mål 48%
Over 4.5 Mål 24%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 63%
Sporting CP Rent bur 10%
Club Brugge Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 80%
Mål 2. omgang 85%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Sporting CP Club Brugge
Kamper Spilt 32 29
Seire 20 20
Uavgjort 7 4
Tap 5 5
Mål Scoret 2.25 2.76
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.91 1.38
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.75 2.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26.11.25 Champions League
Sporting CP vs Club Brugge
3:0
10.12.24 Champions League
Club Brugge vs Sporting CP
2:1
19.07.19 Club Friendly
Club Brugge vs Sporting CP
3:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Sporting CP

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Club Brugge

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Sporting CP Sammenlign

Toppscorer Quenda G.
1 Mål
Assister Suarez L.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.88

Club Brugge Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.62
Snitt xA / kamp 1.6

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Sporting CP 39 / 100
Club Brugge 42 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Sporting CP Club Brugge

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Club Brugge or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Sporting CP 45%
Club Brugge 35%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Sporting CP 39%
Club Brugge 46%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Sporting CP 41%
Club Brugge 44%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Sporting CP 43%
Club Brugge 42%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Sporting CP 37%
Club Brugge 48%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Sporting CP 47%
Club Brugge 51%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Sporting CP angriper → ← angriper Club Brugge

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Sporting CP have found the net in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Club Brugge have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.67 goals per match.

Sporting CP remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Club Brugge suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

67 Poeng siste 5 64
1.75 Forventede mål (xG) 2.88
0.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arsenal880023:424
2Bayern Munich870122:821
3Liverpool860220:818
4Tottenham852117:717
5Barcelona851222:1416
6Chelsea851217:1016
7Sporting CP851217:1116
8Manchester City851215:916
9Real Madrid850321:1215
10Inter850315:715
11PSG842221:1114
12Newcastle Utd842217:714
13Juventus834114:1013
14Atl. Madrid841317:1513
15Atalanta841310:1013
16Bayer Leverkusen833213:1412
17Dortmund832319:1711
18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:1411
19Club Brugge831415:1710
20Galatasaray83149:1110
21Monaco82428:1410
22Qarabag Agdam831413:2110
23Bodo/Glimt823314:159
24Benfica830510:129
25Marseille830511:149
26Pafos82338:119
27Royale Union SG83058:179
28PSV822416:168
29Ath Bilbao82249:148
30Napoli82249:158
31FC Copenhagen822412:218
32Ajax82068:216
33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:214
34Slavia Prague80355:193
35Villarreal80175:181
36Kairat Almaty80177:221