Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
45'
45'
Johnson A.
61'
61'
Noble L.
72'
72'
Fenton J.
Kampsammendrag
Morpeth in this NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morpeth.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
70%
17%
13%
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Stafford
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
88%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Morpeth have won more games recently than Stafford.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Stafford taking it.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 6.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 3%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 64.2%
Stafford Rent bur 20%
Morpeth Rent bur 13%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Stafford | Morpeth |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 26 | 30 |
| Seire | 7 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 2 | 5 |
| Tap | 17 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.81 | 1.23 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.65 | 1.2 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.13 | 0.93 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
27. apr. 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Stafford
6:0
11. nov. 2023 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Morpeth
0:3
25. mars 2023 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Morpeth
0:0
15. okt. 2022 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Stafford
2:1
8. jan. 2022 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Stafford
2:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Stafford Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.87
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56
Morpeth Sammenlign
Toppscorer Johnson A.
1 Mål Assister Noble L.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.85
Snitt xA / kamp 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Stafford 67 / 100
Morpeth 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Stafford Morpeth
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Stafford Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Morpeth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Stafford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Stafford found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).
Måltrender
Stafford VS Morpeth
1 Mål scoret 0.75
0 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stafford
(Home) 05 Sept
Stafford
3 : 0 Northampton on Chenecks
29 Aug
Corby
0 : 2 Stafford
14 Jul
Stafford
0 : 0 Shrewsbury
20 Sept
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC
4 : 3 Stafford
06 Sept
Stafford
1 : 0 Boldmere St Michaels
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Stafford
3 : 0 Northampton on Chenecks
14 Jul
Stafford
0 : 0 Shrewsbury
06 Sept
Stafford
1 : 0 Boldmere St Michaels
22 Jul
Stafford
0 : 1 Rushall
03 Aug
Stafford
0 : 2 Buxton
Page 1 of 3
Morpeth
(Away) 29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0 Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2 Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0 Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0 Morpeth
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0 Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0 Morpeth
03 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Morpeth
21 Mar
Bamber Bridge
0 : 2 Morpeth
10 Mar
Cleethorpes
3 : 1 Morpeth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Radcliffe | 40 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 103:58 | 87 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 40 | 24 | 5 | 11 | 84:47 | 77 |
| 3 | Marine | 40 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 87:44 | 76 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 65:42 | 75 |
| 5 | Worksop | 40 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 72:49 | 70 |
| 6 | Hyde | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 68:48 | 67 |
| 7 | Ashton United | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 73:63 | 67 |
| 8 | Gainsborough | 40 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 66:63 | 63 |
| 9 | Lancaster | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 60:62 | 62 |
| 10 | Guiseley | 40 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 69:63 | 61 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 69:62 | 60 |
| 12 | Whitby | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 13 | Morpeth | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 76:81 | 50 |
| 14 | United of Manchester | 40 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 55:77 | 48 |
| 15 | Matlock | 40 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 62:77 | 47 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 63:82 | 47 |
| 17 | Workington | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 67:81 | 44 |
| 18 | Basford Utd. | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 44:65 | 37 |
| 19 | Bradford PA | 40 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 50:85 | 30 |
| 20 | Stafford | 40 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 36:81 | 30 |
| 21 | Atherton Collieries | 40 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 47:96 | 25 |
| 22 | Marske United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
