Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Sumy enters this Druha Liga 2010/2011 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 56%. Sumy averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.9 conceded in recent matches. Yednist shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Sumy, 0 wins for Yednist, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.04.12 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.85 for Sumy and 2.13 for Yednist, suggesting the primary value lies in the Sumy double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Sumy har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Yednist.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.85 vs 2.13 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 67%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Sumy | Yednist |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 36 |
| Seire | 6 | 7 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 6 |
| Tap | 18 | 23 |
| Mål Scoret | 1 | 1 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.87 | 2.17 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Sumy
Yednist
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Sumy is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Yednist will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Sumy's attacks.
Expect Sumy to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Sumy vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Yednist, allowing Sumy's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Sumy, while Yednist takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Sumy have found the net in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Yednist have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 35 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Sumy remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Yednist suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MFK Mykolaiv | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 29:12 | 48 |
| 2 | Sumy | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 38:13 | 45 |
| 3 | Nova Kakhovka | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 38:17 | 44 |
| 4 | Bastion Illichivsk | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 38:16 | 43 |
| 5 | Desna | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38:24 | 40 |
| 6 | Ch. Odesa 2 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 27:17 | 36 |
| 7 | Skala Stryj | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26:19 | 35 |
| 8 | Yednist | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 39:26 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 17:51 | 14 |
| 11 | FC Ros Bila Tserkva | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 20:58 | 8 |
| 12 | Veres Rivne | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 4:51 | -3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpik Donetsk | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 45:15 | 53 |
| 2 | SC Poltava | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 41:21 | 48 |
| 3 | Kremin | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 37:20 | 43 |
| 4 | Stal Kamianske | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 5 | Kryvbas Krivoy Rog | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 35 |
| 6 | Shakhter Sverdlovsk | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 25:30 | 33 |
| 7 | Shakhtar 3 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38:37 | 29 |
| 8 | FC Mariupol II | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 20:37 | 27 |
| 9 | Hirnyk-Sport | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 17:29 | 22 |
| 10 | SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18:43 | 19 |
| 11 | Olkom Melitopol | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 21:22 | 17 |
| 12 | Dnipro II | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13:41 | 9 |