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Stadium Background

Sweden vs Poland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Strawberry Arena, Solna
Sweden Logo

Sweden

3 - 1
Slutt
Poland Logo

Poland

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

8' Event
Nygren B.
Assist: Lindelof V.
19'
Svensson D.
35'
Puchacz T.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

The UEFA Nations League game between Sweden and Poland finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Sweden
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Poland
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Sweden

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden come out ahead of Poland on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sweden's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Sweden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Sweden Rent bur 10%
Poland Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Sweden Poland
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 14 13
Uavgjort 6 6
Tap 10 11
Mål Scoret 1.93 1.6
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.57 1.43
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 2.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

28. sep. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Sweden vs Poland
3:1
31. mars 2026 World Championship
Sweden vs Poland
3:2
29. mars 2022 World Championship
Poland vs Sweden
2:0
23. juni 2021 Euro
Sweden vs Poland
3:2
5. juni 2004 Friendly International
Sweden vs Poland
3:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Sweden Sammenlign

Toppscorer Nygren B.
1 Mål
Assister Ayari Y.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.45
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94

Poland Sammenlign

Toppscorer Szymanski S.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.82
Snitt xA / kamp 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Sweden 40 / 100
Poland 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Sweden Poland

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Sweden found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Poland let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sweden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Sweden VS Poland
2.13 Mål scoret 2
2 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden

(Home)
05 Oct
Romania
0 : 1
Sweden
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1
Sweden
28 Sept
Sweden
3 : 1
Poland
25 Sept
Sweden
2 : 1
Romania
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
Page 1 of 6

Poland

(Away)
05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0
Poland
02 Oct
Poland
6 : 0
Romania
28 Sept
Sweden
3 : 1
Poland
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)