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Syrianska vs IFK Eskilstuna

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 encounter between Syrianska and IFK Eskilstuna promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Syrianska averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in recent matches. IFK Eskilstuna shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Syrianska, 0 wins for IFK Eskilstuna, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.08.24 ended in a 3:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.54 for Syrianska and 1.25 for IFK Eskilstuna, suggesting the primary value lies in the Syrianska double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Syrianska
32%
Uavgjort
28%
IFK Eskilstuna
Uavgjort-prognose: 32% Favoritt: Syrianska

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Syrianska har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med IFK Eskilstuna.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.54 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 92%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 47%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68%
Syrianska Rent bur 19%
IFK Eskilstuna Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 83%
Mål 2. omgang 87%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Syrianska IFK Eskilstuna
Kamper Spilt 38 30
Seire 13 8
Uavgjort 7 7
Tap 18 15
Mål Scoret 1.45 1.8
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.24 2.37

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17.08.24 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs IFK Eskilstuna
3:1
21.04.24 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
IFK Eskilstuna vs Syrianska
1:2
22.09.23 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
IFK Eskilstuna vs Syrianska
2:2
04.06.23 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Syrianska vs IFK Eskilstuna
0:0
18.09.22 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
IFK Eskilstuna vs Syrianska
2:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Syrianska

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

IFK Eskilstuna

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Syrianska Sammenlign

Toppscorer Safar E.
1 Mål
Assister Ure C.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.45
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94

IFK Eskilstuna Sammenlign

Toppscorer Hanna D. J.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Syrianska 40 / 100
IFK Eskilstuna 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Syrianska IFK Eskilstuna

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Syrianska or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Syrianska 44%
IFK Eskilstuna 22%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Syrianska 38%
IFK Eskilstuna 29%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Syrianska 40%
IFK Eskilstuna 28%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Syrianska 42%
IFK Eskilstuna 27%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Syrianska 36%
IFK Eskilstuna 31%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Syrianska 46%
IFK Eskilstuna 32%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Syrianska angriper → ← angriper IFK Eskilstuna

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Syrianska have found the net in 66% of their last 38 matches.

IFK Eskilstuna have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Syrianska remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

IFK Eskilstuna suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

46 Poeng siste 5 31
1.88 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
1.50 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haninge26213286:3366
2Sylvia26156551:2851
3Arameisk-Syrianska26144852:3946
4Nykopings26136752:4245
5Atvidaberg261241047:4140
6Syrianska26117842:4140
7Huddinge261041239:3334
8Sleipner26971040:4834
9Enskede261031338:4133
10Nacka FC26951241:4532
11Smedby26851338:4329
12IFK Eskilstuna26671344:6125
13BK Ljungsbro26571435:5922
14Mjolby AI FF26422033:8414