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Tadamon vs Akha

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017
2 - 0
Slutt
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Premier League 2016/2017 encounter between Tadamon and Akha promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Tadamon averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Akha shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Tadamon, 0 wins for Akha, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.02.17 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Tadamon and 1.00 for Akha, suggesting the primary value lies in the Akha double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

29%
Tadamon
25%
Uavgjort
46%
Akha
Uavgjort-prognose: 25% Favoritt: Akha

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

77% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Tadamon har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Akha.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.97 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 71%
Over 2.5 Mål 47%
Over 3.5 Mål 28%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 44%
Tadamon Rent bur 23%
Akha Rent bur 15%
Mål 1. omgang 64%
Mål 2. omgang 67%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Tadamon Akha
Kamper Spilt 33 30
Seire 5 12
Uavgjort 9 3
Tap 19 15
Mål Scoret 0.76 1.33
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.79 1.53

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26.02.17 Premier League
Akha vs Tadamon
0:2
02.12.16 Premier League
Tadamon vs Akha
2:0
19.04.15 Premier League
Akha vs Tadamon
0:0
30.11.14 Premier League
Tadamon vs Akha
2:1
29.03.14 Premier League
Akha vs Tadamon
0:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Tadamon

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Akha

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Tadamon 31 / 100
Akha 44 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Tadamon Akha

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Akha or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Tadamon 32%
Akha 37%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Tadamon 28%
Akha 48%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Tadamon 29%
Akha 46%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Tadamon 30%
Akha 44%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Tadamon 26%
Akha 51%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Tadamon 33%
Akha 53%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Tadamon angriper → ← angriper Akha

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Tadamon have found the net in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Akha have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.

Tadamon remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Akha suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

24 Poeng siste 5 39
0.75 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
1.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahed22154341:1449
2Salam Zgharta22124635:2940
3Nejmeh SC22116536:2233
4Al Ansar2295835:4032
5Shabab Baalbeck2294926:2431
6Tadamon22931025:2530
7Racing2286826:3030
8Akha22921135:3729
9Tripoli SC22841034:3128
10Safa2286832:3227
11Al Sahel22741120:2325
12Al Egtmaaey Tripoli22221821:598