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Tajikistan vs Malaysia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

CAFA Nations Cup
fre. 29. aug. 2025
VS
12:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Malaysia have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Tajikistan have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Tajikistan have won 3 to Malaysia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 29. aug. 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.06) back Tajikistan to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
Tajikistan
28%
Uavgjort
50%
Malaysia
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Malaysia

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Malaysia have managed 1.48 goals a game lately — Tajikistan are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Malaysia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Tajikistan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 65%
Tajikistan Rent bur 20%
Malaysia Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Tajikistan Malaysia
Kamper Spilt 28 27
Seire 13 13
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 10 9
Mål Scoret 1.5 1.48
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.18 1.22
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.44 1.06
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

29. aug. 2025 CAFA Nations Cup
Tajikistan vs Malaysia
0:0
17. okt. 2023 Merdeka Cup
Malaysia vs Tajikistan
0:2
25. sep. 2022 Kings Cup (Thailand)
Malaysia vs Tajikistan
0:1
9. nov. 2019 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Tajikistan
1:0
8. aug. 2014 Friendly International
Tajikistan vs Malaysia
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Tajikistan 24 / 100
Malaysia 47 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Tajikistan Malaysia

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Malaysia Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Tajikistan found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Malaysia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Tajikistan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Tajikistan VS Malaysia
1.63 Mål scoret 1.13
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan

(Home)
06 Oct
China
0 : 1
Tajikistan
28 Sept
Tajikistan
2 : 4
Palestine
23 Sept
Azerbaijan
1 : 0
Tajikistan
09 Jun
Tajikistan
1 : 1
India
05 Jun
Tajikistan
3 : 1
India
Page 1 of 6

Malaysia

(Away)
05 Oct
Malaysia
1 : 0
Vietnam
01 Oct
Malaysia
6 : 0
Singapore
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Bangladesh
0 : 3
Malaysia
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Oman 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Turkmenistan 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Kyrgyzstan 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 India 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
3 Tajikistan 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Afghanistan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - CAFA Nations Cup (Play Offs)