Sport Picks
Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand
Football Championship 
Kampsammendrag
Team Wellington enters this Football Championship fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 59%. Team Wellington averages 2.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Wellington Phoenix 2 shows a form average of 1.9 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Team Wellington, 0 wins for Wellington Phoenix 2, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.01.21 ended in a 5:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.67 for Team Wellington and 1.49 for Wellington Phoenix 2, suggesting the primary value lies in the Team Wellington double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Team Wellington har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Wellington Phoenix 2.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.67 vs 1.49 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 67%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Team Wellington | Wellington Phoenix 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 33 |
| Seire | 18 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 2 |
| Tap | 3 | 19 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.5 | 1.88 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.18 | 2.24 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Team Wellington
Wellington Phoenix 2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Team Wellington Sammenlign
Wellington Phoenix 2 Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Team Wellington is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Wellington Phoenix 2 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Team Wellington's attacks.
Expect Team Wellington to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Team Wellington vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Wellington Phoenix 2, allowing Team Wellington's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Team Wellington, while Wellington Phoenix 2 takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Team Wellington have found the net in 93% of their last 28 matches.
Wellington Phoenix 2 have conceded at least one goal in 85% of their last 33 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.
Team Wellington remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Wellington Phoenix 2 suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 35:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:23 | 19 |
| 5 | Waitakere United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 6 | Canterbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:37 | 10 |