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Togo vs Equatorial Guinea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Kégué, Lomé
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

14' Event
Annor Y.
Assist: Klidje T.
53' Event
Denkey K.
Assist: Djene
57'
Bytte
Asue L. Inn: Akogo G.
Ut: Asue L.

Kampsammendrag

Togo in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

70%
Togo
17%
Uavgjort
13%
Equatorial Guinea
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Togo

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Togo haven't matched Equatorial Guinea's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Togo taking it.
  • Equatorial Guinea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Togo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Togo Rent bur 68%
Equatorial Guinea Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Togo Equatorial Guinea
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 7 8
Uavgjort 12 7
Tap 10 14
Mål Scoret 0.97 0.76
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.17 1.21
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 0.75
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17. nov. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Togo vs Equatorial Guinea
3:0
9. sep. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Equatorial Guinea vs Togo
2:2
27. sep. 2022 Friendly International
Equatorial Guinea vs Togo
2:2
13. okt. 2019 Friendly International
Equatorial Guinea vs Togo
1:1
5. juni 2013 Friendly International
Equatorial Guinea vs Togo
0:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Togo Sammenlign

Toppscorer Annor Y.
2 Mål
Assister Denkey K.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Equatorial Guinea Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.68
Snitt xA / kamp 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Togo 77 / 100
Equatorial Guinea 14 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Togo Equatorial Guinea

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Togo Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Equatorial Guinea conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Togo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Togo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Måltrender

Togo VS Equatorial Guinea
1.25 Mål scoret 0.75
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Togo

(Home)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Togo
1 : 0
Burundi
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
Page 1 of 6

Equatorial Guinea

(Away)
28 Sept
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 0
Sierra Leone
24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1
Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)