Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Tokol enters this NB II - East 2007/2008 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 59%. Tokol averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. Baktaloranthaza shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 3.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Tokol, 1 wins for Baktaloranthaza, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.04.09 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.76 for Tokol and 1.88 for Baktaloranthaza, suggesting the primary value lies in the Tokol double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Tokol har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Baktaloranthaza.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (3.76 vs 1.88 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 75%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Tokol | Baktaloranthaza |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 31 |
| Seire | 6 | 3 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 2 |
| Tap | 21 | 26 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.07 | 0.9 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.43 | 3.39 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.14 | 0.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 3.00 | 5.38 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Tokol
Baktaloranthaza
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Tokol is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Baktaloranthaza will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Tokol's attacks.
Expect Tokol to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Tokol vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Baktaloranthaza, allowing Tokol's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Tokol, while Baktaloranthaza takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Tokol have found the net in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Baktaloranthaza have conceded at least one goal in 94% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Tokol remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Baktaloranthaza suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kecskemeti TE | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 74:23 | 75 |
| 2 | Szolnoki MAV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 52:29 | 63 |
| 3 | Ferencvaros | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 63:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Makoi | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 52:34 | 50 |
| 5 | Vac | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 57:45 | 45 |
| 6 | Vecsesi | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 7 | Kazincbarcika | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 43:41 | 44 |
| 8 | Bocs | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 47:42 | 42 |
| 9 | Jaszberenyi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 28:36 | 36 |
| 10 | Cegledi | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 33:53 | 35 |
| 11 | Baktaloranthaza | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:43 | 34 |
| 12 | Tokol | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 28:52 | 32 |
| 13 | BKV Elore | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:49 | 29 |
| 14 | Oroshaza | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 41:56 | 29 |
| 15 | Tuzser Se | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | 23 |
| 16 | Mezokovesd-Zsory | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26:51 | 19 |