Sport Picks
Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 
Kamphendelser
11'
11'
Roberts S.
12'
12'
Saunders C.
20'
20'
Roberts S.
Kampsammendrag
This match ends 4-3, with Trefelin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
13%
17%
70%
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Cardiff Draconians
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
88%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Trefelin carry the better recent record into this one.
- Cardiff Draconians are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Trefelin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Trefelin, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- History favors Trefelin here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Trefelin Rent bur 10%
Cardiff Draconians Rent bur 16%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Trefelin | Cardiff Draconians |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 32 | 29 |
| Seire | 16 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 4 |
| Tap | 12 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.16 | 1.79 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.78 | 1.97 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.94 | 1.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
21. mars 2026 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin
0:4
4. mars 2026 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians
3:1
29. nov. 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians
4:3
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Trefelin Sammenlign
Toppscorer Saunders C.
2 Mål Assister Piper R.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.72
Snitt xA / kamp 0.47
Cardiff Draconians Sammenlign
Toppscorer Roberts S.
2 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.71
Snitt xA / kamp 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Trefelin 14 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 66 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Trefelin Cardiff Draconians
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Cardiff Draconians Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Cardiff Draconians's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Trefelin scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Solid form: Trefelin remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Trefelin VS Cardiff Draconians
0.38 Mål scoret 1.13
2.63 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Trefelin
(Home) 03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1 Ammanford Town
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff Draconians
(Away) 03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1 Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3 Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4 Cardiff Draconians
06 Mar
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
04 Mar
Trefelin
3 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
