Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Treowen host Caerphilly in the Cymru South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Treowen have averaged 1.83 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Caerphilly's 1.14 scored and 2.43 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.25, favoring Treowen. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Look at the last few games and Treowen come out ahead of Caerphilly on wins alone.
- Model gives Treowen a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Treowen | Caerphilly |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 7 |
| Seire | 12 | 1 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 1 |
| Tap | 12 | 5 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.83 | 1.14 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.07 | 2.43 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Treowen scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Caerphilly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.
Caerphilly's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Solid form: Treowen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Treowen
(Home)Caerphilly
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Carmarthen Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Afan Lido | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Pontardawe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Newport City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Treowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Caerau Ely | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Llanelli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Caerphilly | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Baglan Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |