Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Trethomas Bluebirds host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. This one's hard to separate. Trethomas Bluebirds have averaged 1.4 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.32 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Trethomas Bluebirds have won 1 to Caerau Ely's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 23. jan. 2026, ending 1:5. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.56) point toward Caerau Ely. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Model gives Caerau Ely a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Trethomas Bluebirds | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 38 |
| Seire | 5 | 19 |
| Uavgjort | 11 | 8 |
| Tap | 14 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.4 | 2.32 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.17 | 1.42 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Trethomas Bluebirds found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Caerau Ely conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.
Trethomas Bluebirds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Recent Form & Match History
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Home)Caerau Ely
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carmarthen Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Pure Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Afan Lido | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 7 | Pontardawe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Newport City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Treowen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 11 | Baglan Dragons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Caerau Ely | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Llanelli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 15 | Caerphilly | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |