Sport Picks

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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau Ely

Wales Wales

Cymru South
fre. 14. aug. 2026
VS
06:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Trethomas Bluebirds host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. This one's hard to separate. Trethomas Bluebirds have averaged 1.4 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.32 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Trethomas Bluebirds have won 1 to Caerau Ely's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 23. jan. 2026, ending 1:5. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.56) point toward Caerau Ely. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Trethomas Bluebirds
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Caerau Ely
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Caerau Ely

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Trethomas Bluebirds.
  • Model gives Caerau Ely a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 21%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Trethomas Bluebirds Rent bur 15%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 20%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Trethomas Bluebirds Caerau Ely
Kamper Spilt 30 38
Seire 5 19
Uavgjort 11 8
Tap 14 11
Mål Scoret 1.4 2.32
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.17 1.42
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.69 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. jan. 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau Ely
1:5
8. aug. 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
21. feb. 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Caerau Ely
1:0
26. aug. 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Trethomas Bluebirds 27 / 100
Caerau Ely 40 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Trethomas Bluebirds Caerau Ely

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips CAE Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Trethomas Bluebirds found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Caerau Ely conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.

Trethomas Bluebirds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Trethomas Bluebirds VS Caerau Ely
1 Mål scoret 1.13
2 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Home)
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0
Baglan Dragons
14 Jul
Barry Town
5 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
23 Jun
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 3
Penybont
18 Apr
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

Caerau Ely

(Away)
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4
Barnstaple Town
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carmarthen Town 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Pontypridd United 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
3 Ynyshir Albions 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Pure Swansea 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 Afan Lido 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
6 Aberystwyth 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
7 Pontardawe 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
8 Newport City 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
9 Treowen 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Baglan Dragons 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Caerau Ely 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
13 Cardiff Draconians 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Llanelli 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
15 Caerphilly 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Llantwit Major 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)