Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Turkey vs Iceland

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, Izmir
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

2' Event
Akturkoglu K.
Assist: Nayir U.
37' Event
Palsson V.
Assist: Gudmundsson J.
44'
Gretarsson D. L.

Kampsammendrag

Turkey in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turkey.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Turkey
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Iceland
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Turkey

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Turkey lately — more wins on the board than Iceland.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Turkey taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 50%
Over 4.5 Mål 23%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
Turkey Rent bur 20%
Iceland Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Turkey Iceland
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 18 10
Uavgjort 4 4
Tap 8 16
Mål Scoret 1.8 1.53
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.23 1.83
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.44 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. okt. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Iceland vs Turkey
2:4
9. sep. 2024 UEFA Nations League
Turkey vs Iceland
3:1
14. nov. 2019 Euro
Turkey vs Iceland
0:0
11. juni 2019 Euro
Iceland vs Turkey
2:1
6. okt. 2017 World Championship
Turkey vs Iceland
0:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Turkey Sammenlign

Toppscorer Akturkoglu K.
3 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.88
Snitt xA / kamp 1.22

Iceland Sammenlign

Toppscorer Palsson V.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.85
Snitt xA / kamp 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Turkey 85 / 100
Iceland 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Turkey Iceland

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Turkey Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Turkey's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Iceland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Turkey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Turkey VS Iceland
2.75 Mål scoret 1.25
0.63 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Turkey

(Home)
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Iceland

(Away)
10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0
Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1
Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2
Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0
Iceland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
2 Ukraine 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Georgia 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Albania 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Greece 6 5 0 1 11:4 15
3 Ireland 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Finland 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Austria 6 3 2 1 14:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Kazakhstan 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Turkey 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Montenegro 6 1 0 5 4:9 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League A/B - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)