Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Chiangmai United is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Udon Thani, backed by a win probability of 57%. Udon Thani averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in recent matches. Chiangmai United shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Udon Thani, 4 wins for Chiangmai United, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.03.23 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Udon Thani and 1.24 for Chiangmai United, suggesting the primary value lies in the Chiangmai United double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Udon Thani har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Chiangmai United.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.17 vs 1.24 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 67%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Udon Thani | Chiangmai United |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 31 |
| Seire | 6 | 13 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 0 |
| Tap | 21 | 18 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.9 | 1.74 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.53 | 1.87 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Udon Thani
Chiangmai United
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Udon Thani Sammenlign
Chiangmai United Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Chiangmai United will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Udon Thani will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Chiangmai United's early runs.
Expect Chiangmai United to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Udon Thani tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Chiangmai United increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Udon Thani's defense, opening up opportunities for Chiangmai United's forward line.
Expect Chiangmai United to manage the closing stages, while Udon Thani searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Udon Thani have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Chiangmai United have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.
Udon Thani remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Chiangmai United suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 32:20 | 60 |
| 2 | Trat FC | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 55:34 | 60 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 70:36 | 59 |
| 4 | Customs Utd | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 45:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36:32 | 54 |
| 6 | Suphanburi FC | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 36:35 | 52 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 41:30 | 52 |
| 8 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:42 | 51 |
| 9 | Phrae United | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:43 | 51 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 50:43 | 51 |
| 11 | Chiangmai FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Krabi | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 46:46 | 42 |
| 13 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 14 | Samut Prakan City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 32:42 | 37 |
| 15 | Kasetsart | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 35:42 | 37 |
| 16 | Raj Pracha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:41 | 37 |
| 17 | Ranong | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:64 | 27 |
| 18 | Udon Thani | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 31:87 | 21 |