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Udon Thani vs Chiangmai United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Chiangmai United is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Udon Thani, backed by a win probability of 57%. Udon Thani averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in recent matches. Chiangmai United shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Udon Thani, 4 wins for Chiangmai United, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.03.23 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Udon Thani and 1.24 for Chiangmai United, suggesting the primary value lies in the Chiangmai United double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

28%
Udon Thani
15%
Uavgjort
57%
Chiangmai United
Uavgjort-prognose: 15% Favoritt: Chiangmai United

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

83% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Udon Thani har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Chiangmai United.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.17 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 67%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 67%
Over 3.5 Mål 40%
Over 4.5 Mål 20%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 59%
Udon Thani Rent bur 19%
Chiangmai United Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 74%
Mål 2. omgang 78%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Udon Thani Chiangmai United
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 6 13
Uavgjort 3 0
Tap 21 18
Mål Scoret 0.9 1.74
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.53 1.87

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

04.03.23 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Chiangmai United
2:1
22.10.22 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Udon Thani
2:1
28.02.21 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Chiangmai United
0:2
04.10.20 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Udon Thani
6:0
27.10.19 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Udon Thani
3:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Udon Thani

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Chiangmai United

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Udon Thani Sammenlign

Toppscorer Badcharee J.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Chiangmai United Sammenlign

Toppscorer Suankaeo N.
1 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.25
Snitt xA / kamp 0.77

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Udon Thani 29 / 100
Chiangmai United 54 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Udon Thani Chiangmai United

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Chiangmai United Win (2)
Sekundærtips Chiangmai United & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Chiangmai United will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Udon Thani 31%
Chiangmai United 46%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Udon Thani will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Chiangmai United's early runs.

Udon Thani 27%
Chiangmai United 60%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Chiangmai United to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Udon Thani tries to push forward.

Udon Thani 28%
Chiangmai United 57%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Chiangmai United increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Udon Thani 29%
Chiangmai United 54%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Udon Thani's defense, opening up opportunities for Chiangmai United's forward line.

Udon Thani 25%
Chiangmai United 63%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Chiangmai United to manage the closing stages, while Udon Thani searches for late drama.

Udon Thani 32%
Chiangmai United 66%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Udon Thani angriper → ← angriper Chiangmai United

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Udon Thani have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Chiangmai United have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Udon Thani remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Chiangmai United suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

21 Poeng siste 5 39
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.38
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nakhon Pathom341612632:2060
2Trat FC34179855:3460
3Uthai Thani341611770:3659
4Customs Utd341771045:3158
5Chiangmai United341591036:3254
6Suphanburi FC341641436:3552
7Rayong FC3414101041:3052
8Nakhon Si United341491148:4251
9Phrae United341312950:4351
10Ayutthaya United341561350:4351
11Chiangmai FC341371449:4146
12Krabi3410121246:4642
13Chainat Hornbill341181544:4841
14Samut Prakan City348131332:4237
15Kasetsart348131335:4237
16Raj Pracha349101529:4137
17Ranong34691928:6427
18Udon Thani34632531:8721